Ngomhla we-12 kweyeDwarha, i-International Monetary Fund (IMF) ikhuphe umba wamva nje weNgxelo yeHlabathi yoQoqosho (ebizwa ngokuba yi-"Report"). I-IMF ibonise kwi-"Report" ukuba izinga lokukhula koqoqosho kunyaka wonke ka-2021 kulindeleke ukuba libe yi-5.9%, kwaye izinga lokukhula liphantsi nge-0.1 yepesenti kunengqikelelo kaJulayi. I-IMF ikholelwa ukuba nangona uphuhliso loqoqosho lwehlabathi luqhubeka nokuchacha, impembelelo yobhubhane omtsha we-crown pneumonia kuphuhliso loqoqosho ihlala ixesha elide. Ukusasazeka ngokukhawuleza koxinzelelo lwe-delta kuye kwandisa ukungaqiniseki kwekamva lobhubhane, kwanciphisa ukukhula kwemisebenzi, kwanda ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukhuseleko lokutya, kunye nemozulu. Imiba efana notshintsho izise imingeni emininzi kuqoqosho olwahlukeneyo.
“INgxelo” iqikelela ukuba izinga lokukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi kwikota yesine ka-2021 liza kuba yi-4.5% (uqoqosho olwahlukeneyo luyahluka). Ngo-2021, uqoqosho lwezoqoqosho eziphambili luza kukhula nge-5.2%, ukwehla kweepesenti eziyi-0.4 ukusuka kwingqikelelo kaJulayi; uqoqosho lweemarike ezisakhulayo kunye noqoqosho olusakhulayo luza kukhula nge-6.4%, ukunyuka kweepesenti eziyi-0.1 ukusuka kwingqikelelo kaJulayi. Phakathi koqoqosho olukhulu lwehlabathi, izinga lokukhula kophuhliso loqoqosho yi-8.0% eTshayina, i-6.0% eMelika, i-2.4% eJapan, i-3.1% eJamani, i-6.8% eUnited Kingdom, i-9.5% eIndiya, kunye ne-6.3% eFransi. “INgxelo” iqikelela ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba lukhule nge-4.9% ngo-2022, nto leyo efanayo nengqikelelo kaJulayi.
Ingcali yezoqoqosho kwi-IMF uGita Gopinath (Gita Gopinath) uthe ngenxa yezinto ezifana nomahluko ekufumanekeni kwegonyo kunye nenkxaso yemigaqo-nkqubo, amathuba ophuhliso lwezoqoqosho lwezoqoqosho ezahlukeneyo ahlukene, nto leyo eyingxaki ephambili ejongene nokubuyela umva kwezoqoqosho kwihlabathi liphela. Ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwamakhonkco abalulekileyo kwikhonkco lokubonelela ngeenkonzo zehlabathi kunye nexesha lokuphazamiseka lide kunokuba bekulindelwe, imeko yokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuqoqosho oluninzi inzima, nto leyo ekhokelela kwimingcipheko eyandayo yokubuyela umva kwezoqoqosho kunye nobunzima obukhulu ekuphenduleni imigaqo-nkqubo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Okthobha-15-2021
