Xa ndijonga emva kowama-2021, iintlobo ezinxulumene namalahle – amalahle ashushu, amalahle ashushu, kunye namaxabiso e-coke futures ziye zafumana ukunyuka nokuhla okungaqhelekanga, nto leyo eye yaba yeyona nto iphambili kwimarike yeempahla. Phakathi kwazo, kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, ixabiso le-coke futures liye latshintshatshintsha ngendlela ebanzi amaxesha amaninzi, kwaye kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, amalahle ashushu abe lolona hlobo luphambili oluqhuba indlela yemarike yamalahle, nto leyo eqhubela phambili amaxabiso e-coking coal kunye ne-coke futures ukuba atshintshe kakhulu. Ngokuphathelele ukusebenza kwexabiso iyonke, amalahle ashushu anonyuko olukhulu lwamaxabiso phakathi kweentlobo ezintathu. Ukusukela nge-29 kaDisemba 2021, ixabiso eliphambili lesivumelwano se-coking coal liye lanyuka phantse nge-34.73% unyaka wonke, kwaye ixabiso le-coke kunye namalahle ashushu liye landa nge-3.49% kunye ne-2.34% ngokulandelelana. %.
Ngokwembono yezinto ezibangela uqhushululu, kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, umsebenzi ocetywayo wokunciphisa imveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza kulo lonke ilizwe ukhokelele ekwandeni okukhulu kolindelo lokuba imfuno ye-coke yamalahle iya kuba buthathaka kwimarike. Nangona kunjalo, kwimeko yokwenyani, ngaphandle kwemizi-mveliso yentsimbi kwiPhondo laseHebei yokwandisa imida yemveliso kunye nemveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza ukuya ezantsi, amanye amaphondo awazange asebenzise izicwangciso zokunciphisa. Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, imveliso iyonke yentsimbi eluhlaza yanda endaweni yokuncipha, kwaye imfuno yamalahle okupheka iqhube kakuhle. Ukubekwa phambili kwePhondo laseShanxi, umvelisi oyintloko wamalahle kunye ne-coke, kwenze umsebenzi wokuhlola okusingqongileyo, kwaye icala lokubonelela liye lahlangabezana nokwehla okuncinci.) Amaxabiso exesha elizayo atshintsha kakhulu. Kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2021, imizi-mveliso yentsimbi yasekuhlaleni iye yasebenzisa imigaqo-nkqubo yokunciphisa imveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza, kwaye imfuno yezinto eziluhlaza iye yabuthathaka. Phantsi kwempembelelo yokunyuka kweendleko, amaxabiso e-coking yamalahle kunye ne-coke alandela ukunyuka. Phantsi kwesenzo soluhlu lwemigaqo-nkqubo yokuqinisekisa ukunikezelwa kunye nokuzinzisa amaxabiso, ukususela ekupheleni kuka-Okthobha ka-2021, amaxabiso eentlobo ezintathu zamalahle (amalahle ashushu, amalahle acokisayo, kunye ne-coke) aya kubuyela kancinci kancinci kuluhlu olufanelekileyo.
Ngowama-2020, ishishini lokupheka likhawulezise inkqubo yokususa amandla okuvelisa aphelelwe lixesha, ngokutsalwa kwenani elimalunga neetoni ezingama-22 ezigidi zomthamo wokuvelisa i-coking unyaka wonke. Ngowama-2021, amandla okupheka aya kuba zizinto ezintsha ezingenanto. Ngokwezibalo, iitoni ezingama-25.36 ezigidi zomthamo wokuvelisa i-coking ziya kupheliswa ngo-2021, kunye nokwanda kweetoni ezingama-50.49 ezigidi kunye nokwanda kweetoni ezingama-25.13 ezigidi. Nangona kunjalo, nangona amandla okuvelisa i-coking ephinda azaliseke kancinci, imveliso ye-coke iya kubonisa ukukhula okungalunganga unyaka nonyaka ngo-2021. Ngokwedatha evela kwi-National Bureau of Statistics, imveliso ye-coke kwiinyanga ezili-11 zokuqala zika-2021 yayiyi-428.39 ezigidi zeetoni, ukwehla konyaka nonyaka kwe-1.6%, ikakhulu ngenxa yokwehla okuqhubekayo kokusetyenziswa kwamandla okupheka. Idatha yophando ibonisa ukuba ngo-2021, izinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla okupheka kwisampulu yonke liza kwehla ukusuka kwi-90% ekuqaleni konyaka ukuya kwi-70% ekupheleni konyaka. Ngo-2021, indawo ephambili yemveliso yokupheka iya kujongana nokuhlolwa okusingqongileyo okuninzi, umgaqo-nkqubo wokhuseleko lokusingqongileyo uya kuba ngqongqo, umgaqo-nkqubo wolawulo oluphindwe kabini wokusetyenziswa kwamandla uya kwandiswa kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, inkqubo yokunciphisa imveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza iya kukhawuleziswa, kwaye uxinzelelo lomgaqo-nkqubo luya kubeka ukwehla kwemfuno, nto leyo ekhokelela ekukhuleni okubi konyaka nonyaka kwimveliso ye-coke.
Ngowama-2022, amandla emveliso ye-coking yelizwe lam aya kuba nokwanda okuqinisekileyo. Kuqikelelwa ukuba amandla emveliso ye-coking angama-53.73 ezigidi zeetoni aya kupheliswa ngo-2022, kunye nokunyuka kweetoni ezingama-71.33 ezigidi kunye nokunyuka kweetoni ezili-17.6 ezigidi. Ngokwembono yenzuzo, inzuzo ngetoni ye-coke kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2021 yi-727 yuan, kodwa kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ngokunyuka kweendleko ze-coking, inzuzo ngetoni ye-coke iya kwehla iye kwi-243 yuan, kwaye inzuzo ekhawulezileyo ngetoni ye-coke iya kuba malunga ne-100 yuan ekupheleni konyaka. Ngokuhla ngokubanzi kwamaxabiso amalahle aluhlaza, inzuzo ngetoni ye-coke kulindeleke ukuba ibuye ngo-2022, nto leyo enceda ekubuyiselweni kobonelelo lwe-coke. Lilonke, kulindeleke ukuba ukunikezelwa kwe-coke kunyuke ngokuthe chu ngo-2022, kodwa ngenxa yolindelo lokulawulwa okuthe tyaba kwemveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza, indawo yokukhula kokunikezelwa kwe-coke incinci.
Ngokuphathelele imfuno, imfuno iyonke ye-coke ngo-2021 iya kubonisa umkhwa wobuthathaka obukhulu ngaphambili nangasemva. Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, umsebenzi wokunciphisa imveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza kwiindawo ezininzi awuzange uphunyezwe ngempumelelo, kwaye imveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza kunye nentsimbi yehagu inyuke kakhulu, nto leyo eqhubela phambili imfuno ye-coke ukuba iqine; Imveliso iqhubekile nokuncipha, nto leyo ebangele imfuno ye-coke ebuthathaka. Ngokwedatha yophando, imveliso yemihla ngemihla yentsimbi enyibilikisiweyo yezityalo zentsimbi ezingama-247 zesampulu kwilizwe yi-2.28 yezigidi zeetoni, apho imveliso yemihla ngemihla yentsimbi enyibilikisiweyo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021 yi-2.395 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye imveliso yemihla ngemihla yentsimbi enyibilikisiweyo kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka yi-2.165 yezigidi zeetoni, eye yehla yaya kwi-2.165 yezigidi zeetoni ekupheleni konyaka. Malunga ne-2 yezigidi zeetoni. Idatha evela kwi-National Bureau of Statistics ibonisa ukuba kwiinyanga ezili-11 zokuqala zika-2021, imveliso eqokelelweyo yentsimbi eluhlaza kunye nentsimbi yehagu ikhule kancinci unyaka nonyaka.
Ngomhla we-13 kweyeDwarha ngo-2021, uMphathiswa wezeMicimbi yoShishino kunye neTekhnoloji yoLwazi ukhuphe “Isaziso malunga nokuPhuculwa kweMveliso eNkulu yoShishino lweNsimbi neNtsimbi ngexesha lobushushu eBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei nakwiiNdawo ezingqongileyo ngo-2021-2022″, ukususela nge-1 kaJanuwari ngo-2022 ukuya kwi-15 kaMatshi ngo-2022, “2 Umlinganiselo wemveliso edibeneyo yamashishini esinyithi asezidolophini angama-+26″ akufuneki ube ngaphantsi kwe-30% yemveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza kwixesha elifanayo lonyaka ophelileyo. Ngokusekelwe kolu mlinganiselo, imveliso yenyanga ephakathi yentsimbi eluhlaza kwikota yokuqala yezixeko "ezi-2+26" ngo-2022 ilingana naleyo yangoNovemba ka-2021, nto leyo ethetha ukuba imfuno ye-coke kwezi zixeko inendawo encinci yokubuyisela kwikota yokuqala ka-2022, kwaye imfuno iya kwanda. Okanye ukusebenza kwikota yesi-2 nangaphaya. Kwamanye amaphondo, ingakumbi ummandla osemazantsi, ngenxa yokungabikho kwemida engaphezulu kwemigaqo-nkqubo, ukwanda kwemveliso yee-steel mills kulindeleke ukuba kube namandla kunoko kummandla osemantla, nto leyo encomekayo kwimfuno ye-coke. Lilonke, kulindeleke ukuba phantsi kwemvelaphi yomgaqo-nkqubo "we-dual carbon", umgaqo-nkqubo wokunciphisa imveliso yentsimbi eluhlaza uza kuqhubeka usetyenziswa, kwaye imfuno ye-coke ayizukuxhaswa ngamandla.
Ngokuphathelele uluhlu lwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo, ngenxa yemfuno enamandla ye-coke kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, ngelixa unikezelo luye lwancipha ngokwezigaba, unikezelo kunye nemfuno kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ziya kwehla ngaxeshanye, kwaye uluhlu lwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo lwe-coke ngokubanzi luya kubonisa umkhwa wokunciphisa inani lazo. Ngo-2022, xa kujongwa ukuba unikezelo lwe-coke luzinzile kwaye luyanda, imfuno inokuqhubeka nokulawulwa, kwaye ubudlelwane bonikezelo kunye nemfuno bunokukhululeka, kukho umngcipheko othile wokuqokelelana kwe-coke.
Lilonke, ukunikezelwa kwe-coke kunye nemfuno kuya kukhula kakhulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021, kwaye zombini ukunikezelwa kunye nemfuno kuya kuba buthathaka kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka. Ubudlelwane bokunikezelwa kunye nemfuno buya kuba kwipatheni yokulinganisela eqinileyo, uluhlu lwezinto luya kuqhubeka nokuhlaziywa, kwaye ukusebenza ngokubanzi kwamaxabiso e-coke kuya kuba namandla ngenxa yeendleko. Ngo-2022, ngokukhululwa ngokulandelelana kwamandla amatsha emveliso kunye nokubuyiselwa kwenzuzo ngetoni nganye ye-coke, ukunikezelwa kwe-coke kunokunyuka ngokuthe chu. Kwicala lemfuno, umgaqo-nkqubo wemveliso odibeneyo ngexesha lokufudumala kwikota yokuqala uya kuqhubeka nokunciphisa imfuno ye-coke, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokunyuka kwikota yesibini nangaphaya. Phantsi kwemiqathango yomgaqo-nkqubo wokuqinisekisa ukunikezelwa kunye nokuzinzisa amaxabiso, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-coking coal kunye ne-coke kuya kubuyela kwiziseko zayo kunye nochungechunge lweshishini lesinyithi se-ferrous. Ukujonga kulindelo lotshintsho oluqhubekayo kubonelelo kunye nemfuno ye-coke, kulindeleke ukuba amaxabiso e-coke anokutshintsha kancinci ngo-2022. , ukugxila kwamaxabiso kwixesha eliphakathi nelide kunokwehla.